Hawaii Energy Strategy Meeting (October 24,
2006)
Hawaii Department of Business, Economic Development &
Tourism
(DBEDT) and their subcontractor Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI) is in
the process of updating DBEDT's Hawaii Energy Strategy (HES). The
HES covers all aspects of energy: efficiency, gasoline, diesel, coal,
renewables, electricity, air/ground/sea transportation, etc.
Business-As-Usual. On October 24, 2006, in the second of four scheduled
public meetings in the HES update process, RMI explained what would
happen in Hawai`i absent of any legislative reform. RMI believes that,
depending on the price of oil, in 2026 Hawai`i's reliance on oil will
be between 81 and 91 percent, that greenhouse gas emissions will not
change significantly (-1 to +5 percent) and that the winners (that is
the new power plants built in Hawai`i in the next 20 years) will be
garbage-to-energy, geothermal, solar thermal energy, and, if the price
of oil stays low, coal.
Biofuels. RMI summarized the conclusions reached at the secret
government/business biofuels summit: (1) Streamline state/county
permitting process & secure county cooperation; (2) bolster
R&D; (3) clarify the water access issue; (4) support infrastructure
development; (5) provide incentives for in-state production (a lot of
works needed around the ports); and (6) coordinate across the value
chain (ethanol growers, producers, mixers, sellers should all receive
financial benefits)
RMI stated the major risk for ethanol investors was the uncertainty of
when tax credits would run out, the uncertainty surrounding the
oil-ethanol price spread, the uncertainty about which crops would be
best, the lag between R&D and investment recovery, investment
cycles, and whether the government would switch energy policies,
although as RMI noted, the national republican party supports ethanol.
RMI noted that only ethanol plants receive tax subsidies and that other
aspects of the ethanol process needed tax relief also. RMI stated that
some Midwest states were experimenting with detaxation (offering
subsidies and tax-breaks for in-state producers while charging
''non-tariff'' fees for importers). That is, additional taxpayer
subsidies could decrease the financial risk to the ethanol industry.
RMI believes that with Hawai`i's taxpayer subsidies, at least 40 M
gallons of ethanol will be produced each year, and if the price of oil
remains high, this number could increase to 190 M gallons (although
some would be imported).
RMI believes that Kauai and Maui could be used for ethanol in the short
run, but in the long run production will be shifted to large
plantations on the Big Island. Biodiesel can be grown on 20-40 acre
lots on each island.
Senator English asked Kyle Datta a question about the Interstate
Commerce Clause and proposed state legislation. Kyle Datta said the
next meeting would focus on policy alternatives and the fourth meeting
would focus on recommendations for the 2007 State Legislature. Just as
this second public meeting incorporated the ideas generated in the
secret biofuels summit, the third public meeting will incorporate the
secret DBEDT / DLNR Catalogue of Potential Sites for Renewable Energy
Projects in Hawai`i.
RMI believes that the major stumbling block to ethanol production is
''clarifying the water access issue''. Another issue is ''harbor
expansion'' necessary to handle ethanol shipments.
Regarding ocean wave energy, RMI believes that ''wave viability depends
on fossil fuel prices''. RMI's analysis did not include hydrogen,
plug-in-electric vehicles, fuel cells, ocean thermal energy conversion
(OTEC) or many other feasible and viable renewable energy ideas. RMI
stated that the wildcards to their analysis were Sea Water Air
Conditioning (SWAC) and Wave Energy. RMI ''dropped in wave technology
in the last year'' (2025) in order to include it in their 20 year
analysis (2006-2026).
Finally, RMI stated that it could take decades to shift energy policy
in the absence of policy decisions.
Life of the Land Analysis: HECO, DBEDT and the Consumer Advocate fear
Sea Water Air Conditioning (SWAC) which could reduce existing
commercial/hotel loads by 40 percent. They also fear ocean wave
energy which could displace most or all existing and proposed
fossil fuel generators. RMI calls these technologies "Wild Cards''
because their inclusion could shake up business as usual.
The Commerce Clause of the US Constitution establishes that the nation
and not the states may regulate interstate commerce. Detaxation is an
attempt by a state to get around the Commerce Clause and to impose
different taxes for in-state and out-of-state companies selling the
same product.
Hawai`i ethanol companies receive the most generous taxpayer subsidies
in the nation. According to RMI, this may not be sufficient subsidies
to make them cost competitive. So ethanol proponents argues that
additional support such as tax credits for future years, or additional
subsidies may be needed make them competitive. This will ensure that
Hawai`i residents pay more for ethanol than anyone else (although
most of the costs will be hidden in multiple subsidies).
RMI stated that Sea Water Air Conditioning (SWAC) was not evaluated
because it ''is not commercial'' and there are no Hawai`i cost figures
available even though (1) SWAC systems have been installed by Hawai`i
based companies; (2) there are over a dozen SWAC units installed
worldwide including Cornell, Toronto, Sweden, and the People's Republic
of China; and (3) Hawai`i-based SWAC experts offered their services to
RMI. On the other hand, RMI included cellulosic ethanol because their
are two R&D plants located somewhere over there.
The Hawai`i Public Utilities Commission (PUC) already has the authority
to authorize SWAC and wave energy systems, to impose a carbon tax on
greenhouse gas emissions, and to require that energy efficiency
programs are handled by a non-electric third-party utility concerned
only with decrease electrical demand. The PUC was controlled by HECO
and Hawaiian Tel from 1913 - 2003, but is now independent. This
independence will lead to far reaching changes, greater than the state
legislature is willing or able to pursue. We believe meaningful
energy reform will come from the people and/or the PUC.
Collaborations:
To help cement a strong government-industry collaboration, DBEDT is
consulting with William Parks, a bureaucrat with President Bush's
Department of Energy. Mr. Parks may be best remembered for publicly stating in
2002
that: "We have a clear idea of how to get hydrogen today, from natural
gas and coal, and in the future, from nuclear and renewable energy."
Energy
adviser joins state initiative By B.J. Reyes. Honolulu Star
Bulletin
Life of the Land is a
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environmental and community action group. Founded in 1970, the mission
of Life of the Land is to preserve and protect the life of the land
through sustainable land use and energy policies and to promote open
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litigation. We believe that people are part of the environment. We are
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a 501(c)3 charitable organization. We do not attend fundraisers,
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we rank candidates. We work on issues not people.
Contact: Life of the Land, 76
North King Street, Suite 203, Honolulu, Hawaii 96817, Email:
lifeoftheland@hotmail.com Executive Director: Henry Curtis,
henry.lifeoftheland@gmail.com * Assistant Executive Director: Kat
Brady,
katbrady@hotmail.com
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